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Inflation & rate storm rattles global debt markets

Shafaqna English– Treasury yields in the US, Bund yields in Germany, and JGB yields in Japan have all climbed to historic multi-decade thresholds, reflecting a global repricing of risk.

The root causes are twofold: first, inflation has proven stickier than expected, eroding the real value of fixed-income assets; second, markets are now pricing in a prolonged period of elevated policy rates as central banks struggle to tame price growth.

On top of that, persistent anxiety over ever-expanding fiscal deficits and debt-to-GDP ratios has further undermined investor confidence, pushing yields even higher across the board.

The knock-on effects of these elevated bond yields are far-reaching and potentially damaging. For households, higher yields translate directly into more expensive mortgages, auto loans, and consumer credit, thereby reducing disposable income and dampening consumption.

For corporations, the cost of issuing corporate debt rises in tandem, squeezing profit margins and discouraging new investment in capital projects.

At the same time, governments face an even more precarious situation: as interest payments on existing sovereign debt swell, fiscal space shrinks, leaving less room for public spending or stimulus measures. This vicious cycle could ultimately exacerbate already fragile economic conditions across the board.

Source: Reuters

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